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(Tim Heitman/USA TODAY Sports)
(Tim Heitman/USA TODAY Sports)

Pullett's Picks Week 11

Last Week’s Record: 7-7

Overall Season Record: 79-55

Bengals @ Ravens

The Cincinnati Bengals faceoff against the Baltimore Ravens in one of the better Thursday Night Football matchups this season. The Bengals are one of the hottest teams in football, winning four straight before last week’s loss against the Houston Texans. However, Cincinnati will be short-handed against the Ravens. Wide receiver Tee Higgins and defensive end Sam Hubbard will be out with hamstring and ankle injuries. The Bengals’ offense was able to produce last week without Higgins. However, they struggled offensively in Week 5 against the Titans without Higgins. The absence of Higgins could be the difference against a Baltimore team that was able to defeat them in Week 2. With Lamar Jackson leading this offense to 30 or more points in each of their last four games, the Ravens should be able to handle business at home this week.

Ravens 31, Bengals 20

Chargers @ Packers

The Los Angeles Chargers have one of the best offenses in football. However, their defense has not been able to get stops. The Chargers allow the most passing yards per game (291.2) this season. However, the Green Bay Packers have struggled offensively this season. With Aaron Jones nursing a hamstring injury for the majority of the season, Green Bay has relied on first-year starter Jordan Love to carry the load. While Love has had a few bright spots, he struggles in the majority of his games. The Packers have failed to score over 20 points in their last seven games. This game of a struggling Green Bay offense versus a struggling Los Angeles defense should be interesting, as one of the two will have to give. However, the Love-led Packers probably cannot keep up with the electric Chargers this weekend.

Chargers 27, Packers 17

Steelers @ Browns

With the recent news of Deshaun Watson having season-ending shoulder surgery, the future of the Cleveland Browns this season is in question. Kevin Stefanski named Dorian Thompson-Robinson the starting quarterback on Thursday. Thompson-Robinson threw for 121 yards and three interceptions in his lone start this season. The Browns will struggle offensively against the Pittsburgh Steelers with Thompson-Robinson at quarterback. Pittsburgh’s defense performed well earlier in the season against Cleveland, getting six sacks, forcing four turnovers, and scoring two defensive touchdowns. The Steelers will likely have another dominant defensive performance in a win against the Browns on Sunday.

Steelers 20, Browns 10

Bears @ Lions

The Detroit Lions are tied for the second-best record in the NFL, behind only the Philadelphia Eagles. Meanwhile, their Week 11 opponent, the Chicago Bears, is only ahead of four teams when it comes to winning percentage. Detroit’s offense has been one of the best in the league dating back to last season. Chicago’s offense has struggled recently with Tyson Bagent at quarterback, who has thrown two touchdowns and five interceptions in his previous three starts. On the bright side for the Bears, Justin Fields is expected to return this week from a thumb injury that kept him out for three weeks. Although Fields looked great in his two games before the injury (699 total yards and eight touchdowns), Chicago’s defense won’t be able to contain Detroit’s dominant offense. The Lions should improve to 8-2, and potentially take the top spot in the NFC playoff picture.

Lions 34, Bears 24

Raiders @ Dolphins

The Miami Dolphins are 6-3, with all of their wins coming against teams that are under .500. All of Miami’s losses have come against teams .500 or better. Their Week 11 opponent, the Las Vegas Raiders, is .500, with a record of 5-5. However, this pattern should come to an end this week. The Dolphins are coming off a bye week, giving them more rest and time to prepare against the Raiders. While Las Vegas has been solid, Aidan O’Connell has struggled as the team's starting quarterback. O’Connell has two touchdowns and three interceptions in four starts. The lack of a high-level quarterback has hindered the production of Davante Adams. While Josh Jacobs has been efficient in the run game in recent weeks, Miami’s offense should be too much for the Raiders. Tyreek Hill is on pace to break Calvin Johnson’s single-season receiving yards record (1,964). This elite passing game led by Tua Tagovailoa will be complemented well with the return of De’Von Achane who averages the most rushing yards per game (115). The Dolphins’ offense will be too much for Maxx Crosby and Las Vegas to handle.

Dolphins 34, Raiders 17

Giants @ Commanders

The New York Giants have struggled with Tommy DeVito at quarterback. While Daniel Jones isn’t an elite-level quarterback, the team misses him. DeVito averages 86 passing yards per game and a TD/INT ratio of 1. With the lack of any passing attack, it has been difficult for Saquon Barkley to establish the run. The Giants will struggle against their division-rival Washington Commanders in Week 11. While Sam Howell has struggled with his decision-making, both throwing interceptions and taking sacks instead of throwing the ball away, he has the most passing yards in the NFL. The Commanders’ passing attack should be too much for DeVito to keep up with, giving Washington a fairly easy game this week.

Commanders 24, Giants 7

Cowboys @ Panthers

The Dallas Cowboys have played very well against lower-level teams this season. Outside of an outlier game against the Arizona Cardinals, the Cowboys have an average margin of victory of 32.5 points against teams with a bottom-seven record. Given the Carolina Panthers have struggled this season, Dallas should easily handle this team. Tony Pollard may be a prominent part of the offense this week, as he hasn’t played at the same level he was at last season. Dak Prescott and CeeDee Lamb should continue their dominance against the Panthers this week, making for a blowout win for the Cowboys.

Cowboys 37, Panthers 20

Titans @ Jaguars

The Jacksonville Jaguars host the Tennessee Titans in Week 11. The Jaguars should come on top in a battle between the first and last place in the AFC South. The Titans’ offense has not looked as good as it has in recent seasons, as their offensive line has worsened and Derrick Henry’s production has declined due to that. Jacksonville is top-five in rush yards allowed per game and are top-eight in yards per carry allowed. Both of these defenses rank fairly highly in comparison to the rest of the league. However, the Jaguars’ offense is more well-rounded than Tennessee’s. Jacksonville spreads the ball equally between their top three receivers (Evan Engram, Christian Kirk, and Calvin Ridley), and has an elite run game with Travis Etienne. The Jaguars have won every game they have scored at least 20 points, and given the Titans allow 20 points per game, Jacksonville should bounce back from last week’s 31 point loss.

Jaguars 27, Titans 14

Cardinals @ Texans

C.J. Stroud has not only been the best rookie quarterback this season, but he also has a case for performing as one of the top quarterbacks in the league this season. Stroud and the Houston Texans face off against the Arizona Cardinals in Week 11. While Stroud should dominate, last week’s return of Kyler Murray proved to be a turning point in Arizona’s season. While the Cardinals may not be able to make a playoff push, they could still be competitive against teams like the Texans. Murray and Stroud should both have good games this week, as neither defense has been great recently. Although Murray brings new excitement to Arizona, Stroud has proven that he can drive down the field at any time.

Texans 27, Cardinals 24

Buccaneers @ 49ers

In Week 10, the San Fransisco 49ers defeated the Jacksonville Jaguars by 31 to end their three game losing streak. The 49ers have scored at least 30 points in each of their six wins. However, their Week 11 opponent, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, have only allowed 30 points one time this season. The 49ers will rely on Brock Purdy to playmake for them, as the Buccaneers allow the second-most passing yards per game this season. While Purdy has struggled at points this season, most of his struggled came without Deebo Samuel. Now that Samuel is fully healthy, Purdy should be able to lead the 49ers offense to success this week. San Fransisco’s defense should dominate Tampa Bay’s offense this week. San Francisco allows the fourth-fewest yards per game on the ground, while Tampa Bay rushes for the second lowest amount. Tampa Bay will struggle without the establishment of the run game. Ultimately, this disadvantage will be too much for Baker Mayfield to overcome on his own this week.

49ers 31, Buccaneers 17

Jets @ Bills

The Buffalo Bills have lost four of their previous six games, putting them in serious danger of missing the playoffs. These struggles have mostly come with the inconsistent play of Josh Allen. Allen has nine turnovers in their last six games. Allen’s tendency to turn the ball over while trying to make difficult throws has been the main reason for these struggles. Allen will need to play more conservative in Week 11 to defeat the New York Jets. The Jets have struggled recently on offense, scoring only 10.3 points per game in their last three games. However, their defense has been solid in two of thses games. If New York can cause a couple turnovers this week, they should have a decent chance of defeating Buffalo. However, the Bills should bounce back in this game, as their defense should contain the Jets.

Bills 23, Jets 17

Seahawks @ Rams

The Los Angeles Rams have struggled in recent weeks with the absence of Matthew Stafford. His return comes just in time for the Rams, as they play their division-rival Seattle Seahawks in Week 11. Los Angeles’ offense has slowed down since the first couple weks of Cooper Kupp’s return, however, they should return to their early season form against Seattle. The Seahawks lost the first game against the Rams even though Kupp didn’t play. While that game could indicate what’s to come in Week 11, Seattle has improved as the season has progressed. Specifically, the Seahawks’ defense has improved recently. Linebacker Boye Mafe has recorded a sack in seven straight games, a sign of a great pass rush for Seattle. Stafford isn’t a mobile quarterback, meaning the Seahawks’ pass rush should set the tone for this game. While Seattle’s offense has had its ups and downs, Geno Smith has generally been able to lead this team with the help of Kenneth Walker III and Zach Charbonnet in the run game. The Seahawks should split the season series with the Rams with a win this week.

Seahawks 24, Rams 23

Vikings @ Broncos

The Minnesota Vikings and Denver Broncos are two of the most surprising teams in football in recent weeks. The Vikings are 2-0 with Joshua Dobbs at quarterback, while the Broncos have overperformed in recent weeks. Denver’s defense has performed well in the last four weeks, allowing 20 points just once in a stretch that features two games against the Chiefs and one against the Bills. While the story of Dobbs’ season has been fun to follow, the Broncos’ defense should be able to dominate this week. Alexander Mattison is questionable with a concussion, leaving Minnesota with Ty Chandler at running back. While the potential return of Justin Jefferson could help the Vikings’ offense immensely, the absence of a true rushing attack will hurt Minnesota this week.

Broncos 24, Vikings 20

Game of the Week: Eagles @ Chiefs

The Kansas City Chiefs host the Philadelphia Eagles in a rematch of Super Bowl LVII. These teams stand atop their conferences, making a rematch of last season’s Super Bowl a possibility. While the Chiefs are known for their elite offense, this year’s team is arguably the best defense that Patrick Mahomes has played with. Kansas City is top four in both total yards allowed per game and points allowed per game. This elite defense will be the difference in this matchup, as the two teams are evenly matched. The Chiefs offense, led by Mahomes, Travis Kelce, and Isiah Pacheco has been great this season, but so has the Eagles’ offense, led by Jalen Hurts, A.J. Brown, and D’Andre Swift. While Philadelphia’s defense has been great this season, Mahomes has proven that he can perform at a high level against every defense. This game should be close, but Mahomes should have a great fourth quarter, leading Kansas City to victory.

Chiefs 24, Eagles 21

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